El Nino forecast, wet winter ahead

Local News

CHARLESTON, SC (WCBD) – As we near the end of October, we’re looking ahead to the winter outlook. El Nino is forecasted to play a role in the weather outlook for the Lowcountry this year.

The conditions in Septemer in the Central Pacific were neutral. However, in late September, early October the pattern was trending toward El Nino. The current forecast confidence is 70%-75% that a weak El Nino pattern builds in for the upcoming winter.

El Nino is a phenomena in the Pacific Ocean where the waters warm in the Central and Eastern Pacific near the equator. The warmer waters near South America and Central America impact the weather in the United States. In general, we see warmer and drier conditions across the northern half of the country. Meanwhile the southern half of the country see cooler and wetter weather.

The current Climate Prediction Center outlook for the winter in the Lowcountry shows us under a wetter than normal pattern. The temperature forecast looks normal for the season. Keep in mind, these predictions are for the season as a whole. We could still see cold snaps and warm spells.

Meteorology defines winter starting December 1st through the end of February. 

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